In a recent Emerson/DemNextGen poll released on Monday, it was revealed that Former President Donald Trump is currently ahead of President Joe Biden in six swing states.
This news has intensified concerns among Democrats about Biden’s effectiveness as a political figure.
Trump maintains a lead of at least three points in all swing states, except Michigan, where his lead is by one point.
- Pennsylvania – Trump: 48% (+5) Biden: 43%
- Wisconsin – Trump: 47% (+3) Biden: 44%
- Michigan – Trump: 45% (+1) Biden: 44%
- Nevada – Trump: 47% (+6) Biden: 41%
- Arizona – Trump: 46% (+4) Biden: 42%
- Georgia – Trump: 47% (+5) Biden: 42%
Biden trails Trump in ever key swing state, per new Emerson/DemNextGen poll conducted after debate pic.twitter.com/k06OIC6SCr
— Alex Ward (@alexbward) July 8, 2024
According to the July Emerson poll, Trump’s lead over Biden has increased by 1 point in Georgia, 4 points in Nevada, and 3 points in Pennsylvania compared to the June poll. The sample size and margin of error for this data were not provided immediately.
In an article for the New York Times, longtime Democrat adviser Doug Sosnik noted that seven states—Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina—are pivotal in deciding the next president.
Sosnik also mentioned that if Trump wins one or more of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, it would narrow Biden’s chances of reaching 270 electoral votes.
Emerson polling comes after a rash of negative polls for Biden following the presidential debate.
As Breitbart News reported, those include:
- Suffolk University poll: Forty-one percent of Democrat voters want President Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 race, while only 51 percent want him to remain on the ticket.
- YouGov poll: 72 percent of voters say Biden does not have the mental and cognitive health to serve as president, while another 72 percent of voters want Biden to drop out of the race.
- New York Times/Siena poll: Trump leads Biden by 6 points, a three-point swing from last week and the largest recorded lead since 2015 in Times polling.
- Wall Street Journal poll: Trump leads Biden by 6 points, his largest-ever lead in a Journal survey.
- Leaked internal Open Labs poll: “Biden’s vote share in the two-way horse race declined by -0.8pp,” and the “vote share against Trump in the multi-way also declined by -0.8pp.” The results reveal “the largest single-week drop since horse race tracking began in late 2021,” according to the memo.
- CNN poll:
Biden is saying that 2020 polls underestimated him, so why believe them now? When it comes to the general election, that's not true. Polls overestimated him.
Biden's in his worst poll position ever against Trump. He's the 1st Democrat to trail in national July polls since 2000. pic.twitter.com/ViyxLPdto6
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) July 8, 2024
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